Why China Must Start a War – Part II

 

By WC | 01/18/14

chinese military

 

“China’s growing geopolitical heft is emboldening its territorial creep in Asia. After laying claim to 80% of the South China Sea, it has just established a so-called air defense identification zone in the East China Sea, raising the odds of armed conflict with Japan and threatening the principle of freedom of navigation of the seas and skies. Meanwhile, the People’s Republic continues to nibble furtively at territor …”ChellaneyThe simple fact is that Chinese leaders create wars to maintain or gobble up power. They want war resources and to placate the masses. Take a look at a map of ancient China and one can see just how much land China’s last emperors had devoured. As in the past, China’s leaders will create war to ensure their survival.

In order to better understand Beijing’s mindset, consider the following. China’s economy is stalling, income disparity is at dangerous levels and they simply do not have enough resources to support further growth. All of these foment dissension and create breeding grounds for violent overthrow.

 

Economy

During the global financial crisis, China skated by with debt financing and foreign investment. The ease with which they could obtain loans made businesses fat and happy, but definitely not efficient or effective. As a result of this, Chinese firms grew sloppy and addicted to debt.

Now, access to easy loans is drying up and the economy with it. Companies cannot pay their bills and sales are declining. As a consequence of this, half of China’s new college graduates cannot find jobs and when they do many make less than manual laborers. These people are forced to fight it out in the job market with millions of new grads each year. Unfortunately for them all, many Chinese industries are over capacity and underwhelmed with sluggish sales.

Aside from these unemployed youths there are also Chinese farmers who migrate to the cities. They are blamed for being willing to work for less money, hogging resources and creating tension.

Income Disparity

I wrote about China’s problem with income disparity before and won’t belabor the point. China’s communists have essentially created a caste system where everyone but the most privileged deal with these issues.

Consider that Secretary General Xi Jinping can send his daughter to Harvard, a symbol of new found communist wealth. Xi Jinping, who also happens to be China’s “President”, has an extended family wealth of over $300 million. But, this pales in comparison to his ex-rival Bo Xilai whose family allegedly funneled over $1 billion overseas, which puts their riches in line with those of Wen Jiabao, China’s former number two who spoke of controlling corruption within the party. Not bad for “communists” whose goal is equality of resources and allegiance to the state, right?

 

taking money

 

Leaders or Kleptocrats?

The fact is that China’s leaders are not communists but kleptocrats who use state assets to loot local treasure which they can monetize. They also stack the odds in the favor of companies their families have set up to run, and then make money that way. This is great for a few hundred thousand Chinese, but what about the other 1,340,000,000 Chinese? Well, frankly speaking, they are pissed off.

Not only is the typical Chinese person upset about not being able to make ends meet, but they also worry about resources. The air and land are so polluted that drinking Chinese water is hazardous to one’s health. This is only half of the problem, however, as the Chinese do not have enough resources to continue growing.

Natural resources are another head of the Chinese hydra, which cannot be sated.

Access to water is a prime example of one of China’s main resource issues, they do not have enough of it. According to Beijing’s lax standards, more than half of the country’s largest lakes and reservoirs were so contaminated in 2011 that they were unsuitable for human consumption. Even more startling is the fact that China’s 4,700 underground water-quality testing stations show that nearly three-fifths of all water supplies are “relatively bad” or worse and roughly half of rural residents lack access to drinking water that meets international standards.

The former speaks to China’s abuse of its resources, but also consider that China contains only about seven percent of the world’s fresh water but has over 20% of its people. The US Great Lakes, in contrast, contain 20% of the entire world’s fresh water. This need for water has pushed China to bully its neighbors, creating numerous border tensions.

In terms of China’s need for resources, how do you suppose the Chinese grow their economy? With fairy dust and pixie stix? Of course not, they need natural resources such as coal, oil etc. China has assumed the reign of the world’s oil hog. China imports more of the stuff than anyone else.

Unfortunately for China, the coal and oil they have is far from sufficient to meet their needs. In order to sate demand, they have been forced into partnerships with some of the world’s sketchiest dictators. The problem with those relationships is that they are unstable, just look at Libya and Sudan for example. In order to avoid such problems, Beijing has been shoring up resources offshore.

China’s demand has been so incredible that many countries are pushing back, questioning their China strategy. As a consequence, Beijing is left out in the cold. With no coal or oil to produce electricity, Beijing would see its economy grinding to a halt and soon the streets would be awash with Chinese screaming for political change. In order to avoid this problem, china will meets its gas and oil needs by any means possible.

 

spratly islands

 

Preparing for War, ADIZ’s and Land Grabs

“After laying claim to 80% of the South China Sea, it has just established a so-called air defense identification zone in the East China Sea, raising the odds of armed conflict with Japan and threatening the principle of freedom of navigation of the seas and skies.”Project Syndicate

China is throwing their weight around and preparing the battlefield before war. They have claimed Japanese airspace as their own and even threatened the US with military action. Beijing’s policy of militarism is best exemplified by the “cabbage strategy” as put forth by Chinese general Zhang Zhaozhong. The Chinese assert a territorial claim and gradually surround that area with multiple layers of security. They make a claim on land and then quickly move in the military to back the claim. It does not matter that such claims are bogus and/or unfounded, the Chinese move forward anyhow.

“China has set up a casus belli with its neighbors and America for generations to come.”Economist

Their current Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ), over Japan is a prime example. Beijing is laying claim to Japanese airspace and disputed waters. The communists have mandated that any airplane entering the space must file a flight plan with Beijing or face the consequences. This is odd insofar as they have no official right to stake such a claim. Right or wrong it does not matter, for Washington just said that US flights should follow China’s demands.

This is a prime example of China staking a claim and then enforcing some ambiguous right thereto. By caving in to Beijing, Washington sends a dangerous message. It is explicitly telling airplanes to bow to Beijing and implicitly is agreeing with China’s land grab.

What’s our is ours and what’s yours is negotiable

China has successfully used the cabbage patch strategy in acquiring the Scarborough Shoal, the second Thomas Shoal and the Spratly Islands, many of which are located deep within the Philippines. Beijing has successfully taken land and left no foundation for dialogue. They are attempting to do the same with the Senkaku’s as well.

This process of land grabs and unfounded claims lays the groundwork for later Chinese military action. Beijing has stated that airplanes flying over “their ADIZ” must report to them or face the consequences. One need look no further than this to see that Beijing is gearing up for war.

“President Xi Jinping’s promise of national greatness – embodied in the catchphrase “China dream” – is tied as much to achieving regional hegemony as to internal progress.”Project Syndicate

 

china war peace

 

Where Does This Leave Us?

 

So where does this leave us? An increasingly belligerent China is extending its boundaries by hook and by crook. They have threatened the USA and most of their neighbors as well. We have also seen how fear of their citizens has caused problems for Beijing. In order to avoid being dragged Mussolini-like through the streets in China’s next revolution, the Chinese leaders are looking to spill foreign blood.

 

The unfortunate truth is that in China it is hard for cooler heads to prevail. All media outlets are heavily censored, ensuring that Beijing’s stance is all that most Chinese see and/or believe. Rather than allowing freedom of discussion and open debate, the communist party ensures that the truth never sees the light of day.

 

The communist party bombards cyberspace with its “realities” which the Chinese internalize and assume to be true. This is borne out by the fact that having meaningful discussion about the Senkaku Islands, let alone Tibet and Taiwan ever occurs. Relatively few Chinese explore alternate explanations of world affairs which plays into Beijing’s hands. When Beijing says “jump for the motherland”, it appears that the Chinese will indeed jump.

 

Something to think about is that in China all means of production ultimately go towards meeting governmental goals- military hegemony. Consider this when buying your next “made in China” product. By purchasing these goods, we implicitly back the communist party which has just issued this threat to the good people of America who are flying over the illegal Air Defense Zone.

 

“China would not target the United States in the zone as long as it does not go too far.”Reuters

 

No one wants a war, and hopefully China will understand that point. Until they do, however, we can all send a message of our own. Changing one’s purchasing habits could go a long way toward telling Beijing where we stand.

Source  http://www.topsecretwriters.com/2014/01/why-china-must-start-a-war-%E2%80%93-part-ii/

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